What happens to gold market
IT was no big surprise when it happened. It's doubtful that anyone, anywhere, popped a cork when, briefly in New York on Thursday night, gold went through the $US1000 an ounce mark.
We were expecting it. The only issue was when it would happen -- this week or next.
Now that the $US1000/oz level is done and dusted, gold bulls will already be recalibrating their expectations. Any day now there will be talk of $US1200 gold. Then $US1500. And, again, when (not if, they'll argue) those levels are reached, it will have been anticipated and talked about so much that, like this week, it will all seem faintly anticlimactic.
There'll be more joy among the miners, especially if they are not hedged.
Greater Bendigo Gold Mines is as tinny as they come.
First, it is coming to production this month. Second, it decided not to hedge that production so it -- and its shareholders -- will be getting full exposure to the spot price for the planned 20,000oz output a year.
And while the credit well is fast freezing over for sectors such as property, the stellar run by gold made it possible for Greater Bendigo to pull off a trifecta this week. ANZ loaned it $2.1 million, investors opened their wallets for a $1.07 million placement and British managed fund Pacific Capital Investment Management put up $10 million for convertible notes.
Not bad for a company whose shares have been struggling to stay above 20c and which has a market capitalisation of $19.5 million.
"I love gold," chairman Ian Smith said yesterday. And he believes he will keep on doing so. "We are not about to see an outbreak of world peace and financial stability".
Barrick Gold chief executive Greg Wilkins said in a New York television interview that he expected gold to climb a good deal further. And he ventured that the metal might find a lucrative industrial use -- replacing platinum (now more than $US2000 an ounce) in the manufacture of catalytic converters that reduce car exhaust emissions.
Why would you expect gold to stay at these levels or go much higher? Let us count the ways.
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